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Palantir Technologies is set to release its quarterly results after Monday’s market close. Investors are preparing themselves for a major stock move.
Options pricing suggests traders expect Palantir stock will move more than 12 percent in the days following Monday’s earnings report. Palantir shares would hit an all-time record high of $139 with a move of this magnitude, while a similar decline would drop them to about $108.
Palantir was the S&P 500’s best-performing stock last year when it rose 340%, and as of Friday’s close was the index’s top stock this year as well. Shares have risen more than 60% since the start of 2025, while the S&P 500 as a whole has declined a bit over 3%.
Palantir is a rising defense contractor that has recently benefited from the booming demand for artificial-intelligence (AI) services as well as Washington’s newly prioritized priorities. Palantir’s fourth-quarter revenue came from the U.S. Government, which accounted for over 40% of its total revenue. This makes it vulnerable to President Trump’s and Elon Musk’s cost-cutting initiatives. Palantir’s performance is expected to be boosted by the company’s AI focus and Trump’s desire for increased spending on immigration enforcement, military and other areas.
Recent Earnings have Propelled Palantir Stock Higher
The company’s shares soared by more than 20% following its two most recent earnings reports. In both February and November last year, the company said that strong demand for its AI-platform drove quarterly revenue growth by 30% or more.
Wall Street expects Palantir will report revenue growth of 36% in the 1st quarter, and adjusted earnings that are up more than 60%. These expectations come from analysts who follow Palantir and are tracked by Visible Alpha. Only one analyst recommends purchasing the stock at its current price, despite the stock’s meteoric growth over the past year-and-a-half.
Despite this, the company has built a loyal fan base of retail investors who are not interested in cashing out. Palantir, according to analysts at Vanda Research, is the third-most popular stock amongst individual investors behind Nvidia (NVDA), and Tesla (TSLA). According to a recent Investopedia poll, readers bought Palantir’s stock dip last month with the same enthusiasm as they did other tech giants such as Amazon (AMZN) or Apple (AAPL).
