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North Carolina, New York State, Florida, California New Jersey Tennessee and Virginia were the states with the lowest 30-year mortgage rates on Thursday. The seven states recorded averages ranging from 6.81% to 694%.
Hawaii, West Virginia and Arizona were the states with the most refinance rates on Thursday. Washington, D.C. was second, followed by Alaska and Ohio. The 30-year average refinance rates for these states ranged from 7.03% to 7.12%.
Mortgage refinance rates differ by the state they originate in. Different lenders operate in various regions. Rates can be affected by variations in state-level regulations, credit scores, and average loan sizes. Lenders use different risk management techniques that affect the rates they charge.
No matter what type of mortgage you are looking for, it is wise to shop around and compare rates frequently, as rates vary widely between lenders.
You can also read about the importance of this in
The rates we publish won’t compare directly with teaser rates you see advertised online since those rates are cherry-picked as the most attractive vs. the averages you see here. Teaser rates may involve paying points in advance or may be based on a hypothetical borrower with an ultra-high credit score or for a smaller-than-typical loan. The rate that you will receive is based on a variety of factors, including your credit score and income.
National Mortgage Refinance Averages
Rates on 30-year refinance mortgages increased to a new average of 6.97% Thursday. This is 26 percentage points higher than the four-month-old low of 6.71%.
Today's rates are elevated compared to September, when the 30-year refi average plunged to a two-year low of 6.01%.
National Averages of Lenders' Best Mortgage Rates | |
---|---|
Loan Type | Average Refinance Interest Rate |
30-Year Fixed | 6.97% |
FHA 30-Year Fixed | 6.75% |
Fixed 15-Year Rate | 5.81% |
Jumbo 30-Year Fixed | 6.89% |
5/6 ARM | 7.38% |
Zillow Mortgage API provides access to the Zillow Mortgage API |
Compare Current Mortgage Interest Rates – Today, March 21, 2025
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What causes mortgage rates rise or fall?
Mortgage rates are determined by the complex interaction of macroeconomics and industry factors.
- The direction and level in which the bond market is moving, especially with regard to 10-year Treasury rates
- The Federal Reserve’s current policy on monetary policy. This includes bond purchases and government-backed mortgages.
- Mortgage lenders are competing with each other to offer different types of loans.
Because any number of these can cause fluctuations simultaneously, it's generally difficult to attribute any change to any one factor.
Macroeconomic factors kept mortgage rates low for most of 2021. The Federal Reserve bought billions of dollars’ worth of bonds to respond to the economic pressures caused by the pandemic. This bond-buying program is a major influencer on mortgage rates.
The Fed will begin to taper its bond purchases in November 2021. It will make monthly reductions that are significant until March 2022, when the net purchase amount is zero.
Fed aggressively increased the federal funds rate between July 2023 and then to combat the inflationary levels that have been in place for decades. The fed funds rate does not directly affect mortgage rates. The fed funds rate can actually move in the opposite direction to mortgage rates.
But given the historic speed and magnitude of the Fed's 2022 and 2023 rate increases—raising the benchmark rate 5.25 percentage points over 16 months—even the indirect influence of the fed funds rate has resulted in a dramatic upward impact on mortgage rates over the last two years.
The Fed kept the federal funds rate at a peak level for nearly 14 months, starting in July 2023. But in September the central bank announced its first rate cut, which was 0.50 percentage points. This was followed by quarter-point cuts in November and Decembre.
For its first meeting of the new year, however, the Fed opted to hold rates steady—and it’s possible the central bank may not make another rate cut for months. Eight rate-setting meetings are scheduled each year, so we could see several rate-hold announcements by 2025.
How We Track Mortgage Rates
The national and state averages cited above are provided as is via the Zillow Mortgage API, assuming a loan-to-value (LTV) ratio of 80% (i.e., a down payment of at least 20%) and an applicant credit score in the 680–739 range. The rates are what borrowers can expect to receive from lenders when they get quotes based on their qualifications. These rates may differ from teaser rates advertised. © Zillow, Inc., 2025. Zillow’s Terms of Service apply.
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Congressional Research Service "Federal Reserve: Tapering of Asset Purchases," Page 1.
Federal Reserve Board. “Summary Economic Projections, 19 March 2025,” Page 4.